Decoding GST Collections – June 2025: A Technical Review
India’s Gross Goods and Services Tax (GST) revenue for June 2025 stood at ₹1,84,597 crore, reflecting a 6.2% year-on-year growth compared to ₹1,73,813 crore in June 2024. The uptick, although modest, indicates compliance stability amid evolving enforcement and policy measures by the GST Council and Ministry of Finance.
🔍 Composition of GST Revenues
GST revenue comprises:
The domestic GST revenue rose to ₹1,38,906 crore in June 2025 from ₹1,32,800 crore in June 2024, showing a 4.6% growth. Meanwhile, GST from imports surged by 11.4%, underlining robust cross-border activity or price-based duties.
On a net basis (post-refunds), the Centre retained ₹1,59,106 crore in June 2025 (₹1,53,959 crore in June 2024), marking a 3.3% net revenue growth. However, total refunds shot up by 28.4%, hinting at either improved processing via ICEGATE or structural anomalies requiring vigilance.
📊 State-wise Performance: Divergence in Growth
The data shows asymmetric growth among States and UTs. Key highlights:
🚀 Top Performing States by Collection (June 2025):
State |
Collection (₹ Cr) |
Growth (%) |
Maharashtra |
₹30,553 |
6% |
Karnataka |
₹13,409 |
8% |
Gujarat |
₹11,040 |
-1% |
Tamil Nadu |
₹10,676 |
4% |
Haryana |
₹9,959 |
10% |
Maharashtra, Karnataka and Haryana continue to anchor India’s GST structure, contributing significantly to total mop-up. Haryana posted a double-digit growth, indicating efficient enforcement or growth in the formal economy.
⚠️ States Showing Decline:
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Punjab: -3%
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Uttar Pradesh: -4%
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Manipur: -36%
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Mizoram: -29%
States like UP and Punjab, despite their economic base, are witnessing GST contractions. This may be attributable to E-invoice compliance issues, reduced industrial output, or delayed credit flows.
📈 Outliers and Surges:
These figures suggest either a compliance catch-up effect, or base-year anomalies being corrected. However, consistent spikes like in Nagaland require validation against economic activity.
🔄 Revenue Settlement & Refund Pressure
Post-settlement SGST (including IGST sharing) for all States rose from ₹2.42 lakh crore (up to June 2024) to ₹2.48 lakh crore (up to June 2025), but growth is marginal at just 2%. This underscores the growing impact of higher refunds—which surged to ₹25,491 crore in June 2025 alone.
Refunds via ICEGATE (exports) and domestic processes rose by 46.4% and 14.1%, respectively—warranting a thorough audit trail to ensure no undue outflows or circular claims.
📌 Technical Takeaways
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The total tax base expanded, with over 89 lakh GSTINs active as on June 30, 2025.
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Despite gross growth, net revenue efficiency is under pressure due to growing refunds.
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The Centre-State settlement ratio remains skewed in some regions, reflecting jurisdictional audit variances and revenue recognition timing.
🧮 Policy Implication
While overall GST trends appear positive, the Council may consider tightening norms on refunds, especially in high-spike jurisdictions. Improved automation (like GSTN-AI alerts), combined with risk-based audits, would help reduce leakage.
With Nirmala Sitharaman’s fiscal discipline approach, and GST being a primary indirect tax pillar, consistent monitoring and state-wise intervention will remain key to ensuring a balanced and buoyant GST ecosystem.